Friday, May 18, 2018

Raghee Horner, Bix Weir, Eagle Plains CEO, Tim Termuende, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - May 18th, 2018 - Goldseek.com Radio ©2005-2018. A Spina-Waltzek Production-©2005-2018 http://radio.goldseek.com/ Royalty free music from Google Play. Disclaimer: this show is presented as informational content only; always consult first with a registered financial advisor before making investment decision.

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Show Highlights
  • Raghee Horner of SimplerTrading, with 3 decades of trading experience and the author of 3 books, makes her show debut.
  • Gold and cryptocurrencies remain favorite trading markets of our guest; investors are advised to ignore the Bitcoin FUD (fear, uncertainty and doubt).
  • Bitcoin / Altcoins represent the natural progression from the outdated fiat model to a blockchain based monetary system of the future.
  • Investors who feel comfortable with cryptocurrencies are directed to Bitcoin silver, aka, Ethereum (ETH), which could continue to outperform Bitcoin.
  • ETH investors should be treated to a new futures / ETF contracts this year.
  • The guest / host also concur on the energy sector; WTIC reached the 2018 target of $70.
  • The new target of $90-$100 could come to pass as soon as 2018 on continued supply issues amid tensions in the Mideast.
  • Thoughts converge on silver; both expect gold's shiny cousin to outperform on a relative basis while copper remains on the watchlist.
  • Part II. with Bix Weir of RoadtoRoot-A continues the review of the ever evolving crypto-revolution, including the ascent of Ethereum and its key competitors.
  • Competing crypto-script EOS is an ERC-20 token, headed by Dan Lahrimer known for DPoS, while Cardano is run by a former key developer of Ethereum.
  • A strategic advantage of Ethereum is the Turing Complete nature of the Solidity language, which allows scripts to run on the token.
  • While YouTube "experts" use Metcalfe's Law to describe the network value of Bitcoin, Metcalfe's Law is easily debunked using basic statistical modeling.
  • Metcalfe's law holds that peer-to-peer networks such as Bitcoin derive value. via the number of transactions times the number of users.
  • Nevertheless, given that there are a finite number (n) of people, all human based exponential systems are non-asymptotic; growth eventually slows.
  • Due to the highly complex nature of human behavior, the host proposes a unique description of the cryptocurrency "network effect."
  • The progression begins with the exponential, turns to logarithmic and ends in with the parabolic.
  • The model begins with super-linear growth of the exponential n^2 curve, progressing to the more tame ascent of the n*log(n) curve.
  • The system results in the S-curve that completes the life-cycle as the log-parabolic system returns to zero (figure 1.1).
  • Investors are advised to ignore all Bitcoin growth forecasts based on Metcalfe's Law and rely instead on more pragmatic S-curve estimates.
  • The duo dismiss detractors citing the large number of US equities (10,000+) does little to lower overall demand for shares.
  • The thought is further corroborated via comments from Silicon Valley, Bitcoin Billionaire, Tim Draper.
  • Mr. Draper notes (paraphrased) that within 5 years, coffee shops around the US will accept Bitcoin as the currency of choice.
  • BTC / Altcoins offer an alternative to the domestic currency regardless of location worldwide, for currency / financial crises, such as the Great Recession of 2008, as well as the devaluation's of Venezuela and Argentina.

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Friday, May 11, 2018

Lynette Zang, Tim Draper, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - May 10th, 2018 - ©2005-2018. A Spina-Waltzek Production-©2005-2018 http://radio.goldseek.com/ Royalty free music from Google Play. Disclaimer: this show is presented as informational content only; always consult first with a registered financial advisor before making investment decision.

May 11th, 2018
Featured Guests
Lynette Zang
& Tim Draper
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Show Highlights
  • Lynette Zang, Chief Market Analyst at ITM Trading makes her show debut with in depth analysis on the risk of global hyperinflation.
  • Thousands of years of monetary history reveals, only gold money is inflation resistant, unlike fiat currency that inevitably inflates away into oblivion.
  • In only 100 years the purchasing power of the dollar has evaporated; data from the Federal Reserve reveals only 4 pennies remain for each one dollar printed.
  • Given the insidious nature of inflation, one would expect monetary policy to be the topic du jour.
  • Nevertheless, a key founder of modern economics, John Maynard Keynes noted, "not one in a million will detect (inflation)."
  • In 1971 the US President granted control of the money supply to bankers by closing the gold window, ending the exchange of Greenbacks for gold.
  • Lynette Zang draws startling parallels between today's financial markets and the Great Depression era of 1930's, including rampant margin leverage of 10:1.
  • An economic calamity may be inevitable, unfolding as soon as 2021.
  • It is advisable to expand their local network to improve the odds of survival and boost household stockpiles of food / medicine / PMs / energy and self-defense.
  • Tim Draper, Silicon Valley V.C. legend, author of How to be The Startup Hero, founder of Draper University and Bitcoin expert makes his show debut.
  • In only 5 years, Draper University is already setting the standard in education, with several success stories including a billion dollar crypto-token company.
  • Our guest had the foresight to purchase 30,000 Bitcoins in 2014 from the U.S. Marshals Service auction at around $500 each.
  • In 2014, his forecast of $10,000 BTC by 2017 came to pass ahed of the prediction.
  • Tim Draper expects the $86 trillion global currency market to be eclipsed by Bitcoin / altcoins, which implies a 240x-500x price increase from current levels.
  • His prediction last month of $250k Bitcoin by 2022, resulted in "The Draper Effect" set the floor on the $6,600 price, sending Bitcoin soaring by 50%.
  • He joins the chorus of leading financial gurus calling for $1 million Bitcoin, adding that BTC could climb into the millions per coin.
  • Key qualities of BTC: A store of wealth, ease of transfer, safety relative to traditional banking, less bureaucracy, and frictionless transactions.
  • Additional benefits: governments will compete for their citizens, digitally; easy accessibility for the unbanked masses as well as a parallel monetary system.
  • Tim Draper notes the brain drain of talent and of wealth from regions with draconian legislation towards crypto favorable areas, such as "Crypto-Rico."
  • Puerto Rico offers entrepreneurs a tax safe haven, funnelling wealth to the island where officials hope new capital will rebuild the devastated infrastructure.
  • While Japan wisely adopted Bitcoin as legal tender, bringing considerable affluence, other nations have struggled to accept the decentralized blockchain.
  • To paraphrase M. Gandhi: First they laugh at you, next they ignore you, then they attack you, and then you win.
  • Similarly, although JP Morgan and related institutions first rejected Bitcoin, FOMO is rampant on news that Goldman Sachs announced a BTC trading desk.
  • Economists / policymakers and investors who resist the inevitable pull of the crypto-revolution are doomed to mediocrity, while those who adapt to the new trend will improve their odds of success.
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