Friday, October 23, 2015

Gerald Celente & Bob Hoye

Oct. 23, 2015
Gerald Celente & Bob Hoye

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Summary:
  • Chris welcomes back Bob Hoye, senior investment strategist of Institutional Advisors.
  • The first silver coin minted in the US in 1794 sold at auction for $4,993,750 this week, an extreme illustration of the wealth preserving qualities of the PMs.
  • Institutional Advisors, suggests that every investor own gold as insurance against the unexpected, particularly in the long-term.
  • Our guest ignores the PMs supply / demand conditions, preferring instead to monitor silver / gold ratio for credit issues.
  • His in-depth technical analysis agrees with that of the host - US equities may be re-testing a break-down, resistance level, indicative of a bear market.
  • The recent lackluster domestic unemployment announcement could restrain Fed policymakers from raising rates.
  • The head of Tocqueville PMs fund expects the continued flow of PMs from Western nations to Eastern countries to culminate in a short-squeeze of epic proportions.
  • In the next phase of the credit crisis, gold could surge higher, as a refuge of last resort.
  • Head of the Trends Research Institute, Gerald Celente outlines a less than sanguine economic ontology.
  • A modern economic depression could develop, due in part to stagnant wages and shadow unemployment.
  • Fed policymakers may heed Former Fed Head, Dr. Bernanke's suggestion to push the benchmark lending rate into negative territory.
  • In Dickensian-like fashion, savers hand over their capital to lenders, while paying for the less than savory opportunity.
  • The Trends Research Institute recently hosted a conference with leading speakers, including Dr. Paul Craig Roberts, Dr. Gary Null and Ralph Nader.
  • Our guest expects the premium for financial portfolio insurance to skyrocket, boosting demand / price of PMs, his preferred retirement safe haven.

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Chris Waltzek
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Tuesday, October 20, 2015

Louis Navellier & Peter Schiff

Oct. 16, 2015
Louis Navellier & Peter Schiff

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Summary:
  • Chris welcomes back Louis Navellier of Navellier Growth for another market discussion.
  • Louis has a knack for identifying multi-year themes in the market, well ahead of the top financial pundits.
  • He outlines the similarities between the 2011 downdraft in US shares and 2015, noting expectations for one more retest of the September 2015 lows.
  • More cautious investors are advised to consider re-entering equities positions on the week before Thanksgiving.
  • Our guest is watching the Fed closely - he expects policymakers to hold rates steady, otherwise increase a quarter percent in December.
  • He places low odds on a 2016 rate hike, due to the upcoming November election.
  • Favorite stock sectors include health care, such as CVS (CVS), as well as Darden Restaurants (Capital Grille) (DRI), Costco (COST), Lowes (LOW), Southwest Airlines Lowes (LUV) and Starbuck's Coffee (SBUX).
  • Chris welcomes Peter Schiff, Chairman of SchiffGold.com.
  • The discussion includes less than robust economic reports including sluggish retail sales.
  • Peter Schiff thinks the economic recovery is less than genuine; conditions are far more dire than reported.
  • According to a major EU investment bank Saxo, gold may have found a solid bottom - the yellow metal could soar as high as $1,400.
  • However, Peter Schiff thinks the figure is conservative, given the recent failure by Fed policymakers to raise rates.
  • His findings indicate the true Fed agenda involves preparations for the next round of monetary easing, QE4.
  • Bullion supply conditions remain constrained - the US Mint and the Canadian Mint are unable to meet demand due in part to weekly silver coin quotas.
  • In addition, the Australian Perth Mint sold a record 2.5 million silver ounces in the latest reading; an all time record.
  • Even if gold were to decline to $800 the small downside risk is fractional relative to the upside potential; the risk-reward is highly favorable.
  • 2016 could be the renaissance year for the PMs, gold may surprise even the most staunch aficionado as the sector begins to reflect true intrinsic value.
  • Even with the 14% advance in the XAU index last week, gold shares may represent a fantastic opportunity, relative to general equities.
  • Plus, the real estate sector may experience an epic plunge, similar to the 2006 peak, as financial institutions unload huge shadow inventories on a public ill-prepared to switch from renting back to home ownership.

Show Host
Chris Waltzek:
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Friday, October 09, 2015

Arch Crawford & Ross Givens

Oct. 9, 2015
Arch Crawford & Ross Givens
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Summary:
  • Arch Crawford, head of Crawford Perspectives, - he's double short the market bounce, in anticipation of continued volatility.
  • Arch likes the PMs, noting that tight supply conditions could help bring about a renaissance in the sector
  • He is accumulating silver in his personal stockpile.
  • Arch Crawford thinks the rebound rally is merely a bounce.
  • He earned $500,000 shorting US equities in 2008, using only $2,500, via put options.
  • He is currently following a similar strategy (caution advisable).
  • Although the Black-Scholes options pricing model works well with at / near-the-money-strike prices, far out-of-the-money options tend to be vastly underpriced.
  • This presents huge opportunity at market tipping points, according to chaos theory, Dr. Taleb, Arch Crawford and the host.
  • The duo suspect that the next bull market in the precious metals (PMs) could unfold in lightning fashion, beginning with a sudden dollar collapse.
  • The impetus could be continued US Treasury sales by the BRICS nations, per current headline reports.
  • The financial dialogue resumes with WTIC - Arch thinks that buying opportunities will abound in black gold.
  • Chris welcomes Ross Givens, from Wealth Empire to the show.
  • The duo concur that the Blog-o-Fear may be wrong on US equities; stocks are oversold and could present a long-term portfolio opportunity.
  • Stocks represent an excellent valuation over fixed-rate debt instruments, such as bonds.
  • His work indicates that gold / silver are reaching fire sale prices as the cash cost of mining production approaches the spot price.
  • Mining production is low and supply is tight.
  • When price is low, fewer projects are viable adding to already narrow supply conditions.
  • The net result is increased demand, which is perfect for bull market conditions.
  • He suggests adding the gold stock mining ETF to portfolios (GDX) to leverage a potential gold bull market.
  • The host suggests the (GDXJ) to participate in the smaller cap gold / silver mining operations, with the proviso of dollar cost averaging into positions.
  • The crude oil sector is entering similar conditions, where investment in new operations has dwindled, setting up a long-term opportunity.
  • Similar to the Alpha Stocks Newsletter, Wealth Empire monitors the investment strategies of top hedge fund investors and money managers, like Warren
  • Buffett, George Soros, and Carl Icahn, through SEC holdings reports.
    Favorite stocks include Apple Computer (AAPL) and General Motors (GM).

Show Host
Chris Waltzek:
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http://silverinvestor.blogspot.com/