Friday, January 01, 2016

Martin Armstrong & Bob Hoye

Jan. 1, 2016
Featured Guests:
Martin Armstrong & Bob Hoye

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Summary:
  • Chris welcomes back Bob Hoye, senior investment strategist of Institutional Advisors, who wishes every listener a Happy New Year.
  • The economic endgame could be near - central bank policymakers are using every method possible, including negative interest rates and QE.
  • His models suggest a paper asset crash is inevitable, it is merely a matter of time.
  • Timing the event is challenging and will represent a sea-change in economics worldwide.
  • The tipping point could stem from the Junk Bond market, where soaring yields have crushed prices, potentially threatening the higher rated debt market.
  • Our guest's key takeaway point: a financial maelstrom of epic proportions will crush debt instruments and even shares - hard assets will be essential to economic survival.
  • Chris welcomes back Martin Armstrong of Armstrong Economics, the subject of a new riveting documentary The Forecaster (2015).
  • Watch the theatrical trailer video (Figure 1.1.).
  • At the heart of his investing methodology are international money flows.
  • The recent FOMC rate hike could actually be a boon for US equities indexes, as investors direct funds from sluggish international zones.
  • The discussion includes the threat posed by a cash-less society, an economic ontology gaining momentum domestically and worldwide.
  • The Forecaster shares his stock market forecast: expect 26,000 - 27,000, with a potential for 40,000 on the Dow Jones Industrials followed by extreme volatility into 2017-2020.
  • The dialogue returns to the domestic economy - up to 70% of the national debt stems from interest on debt.
  • Westerners could learn much from the economic miracle in Japan - following WWII, Japan became the 2nd largest economy worldwide.
  • Since then, China has followed its own path, capturing the title of second largest superpower by building up the infrastructure.
  • The chat concludes with an interesting discussion on the nature of market forecasting, expert systems and genetic algorithms, useful for improved prognostication.

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Chris Waltzek
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