Friday, December 08, 2017

Peter Schiff & Dan Norcini






Show Highlights
  • As the holiday season approaches, head of SchiffGold, Euro Pacific Capital, and Euro Pacific Gold Fund (EPGFX) returns with glad tidings for PMs investors.
  • Our guest is particularly keen on the prospects of the silver market.
  • Regarding Bitcoin (BTC), Peter Schiff notes, "... it (Bitcoin) could grow to be the biggest bubble in the history of the world..."
  • Bitcoin and cryptos represent, "... an indictment of the Euro and the Dollar... BTC could run to $20,000 on FOMO or fear of missing out."
  • Merely 1% own BTC, 3 million - the potential for widespread adoption combined with Metcalfe's Network Law.
  • Contrary to naysayers, the true market bubble is clearly US shares, implying much higher BTC / PMs prices, well over $100,000 to even $1,000,000 per BTC.
  • The host finds BTC mining comparable to PMs mining, which also requires tremendous energy expenditure, resulting in a unique store of wealth.
  • BTC continues to accumulate the brightest engineers / developers and computer ASIC / Sha-236 hashing power.
  • The net result is an unrivaled digital, peer-to-peer, monetary system, and an unregulated miracle.
  • While the guest finds BTC mining amid elevated prices profitable, the host notes lower prices effectively decrease mining difficulty rates.
  • The duo concur; everyone must procure PMs insurance to guard against increasingly ominous financial conditions, worldwide.
  • Peter Schiff calls for $5,000-$10,000 per ounce gold, similar to BTC which is quickly approaching $15,000 (figure 1.1.).
  • The topicality includes the importance of cold storage for BTC and related Altcoins.
  • Goldseek Radio is running a limited offer of 1 free BTC cold storage wallet for each Annual Newsletter subscription, 2 for 5 years and 3 for 10 years.
  • One of the key advantages of cold storage is the convenient access to funds, independent of broadband speed or PC / laptop issues.
  • New subscribers receive their Ledger wallet sent immediately directly from Amazon, which reduces tedious blockchain download delays while vastly improving security.
  • With the holidays just around the corner, Dan Norcini, a.k.a., Trader Dan returns with his outlook on the commodities sector.
  • He follows the money flows to decipher investor sentiment, such as the Carry-trade that involves the USD/Yen.
  • When the index is weak, sentiment is viewed as risk-on, favoring gold and silver; when the USD/Yen index is strong, the risk-off trade favors US equities.
  • The accompanying chart indicates that investors turned to gold in 2016 while avoiding US shares, as the USD/JPY ratio declined.
  • The theme reversed in 2017 as the USD/JPY firmed (figure 1.1).
  • The host notes that the relationship breaks down out of sample, such as the 2008 credit crisis (figure 1.2.).
  • Alternatively, the 50 period MA in the weekly chart or 200 period MA in the daily chart on S&P yields a nearly perfect relationship out of sample (figure 1.3.).
  • In addition, the Commitment of Traders report (COT) offers clues by revealing the positions of the big players.
  • Our guest outlines specific indicators for the silver market, including the notable correlation with the CRB index.


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    Friday, December 01, 2017

    CCO Giovanni Lesna & Bill Murphy

    Dec. 1st, 2017
    Featured Guests
    CCO Giovanni Lesna
    and Bill Murphy

    Please Listen Here


    Show Highlights
    • Hedge Token (HDG) CCO Giovanni Lesna makes his show debut from his office in South Africa.
    • Goldseek’s Peter Spina rates HDG as his top crypto candidate, an interesting and unique hedging platform that seeks to enable everyone to participate.
    • Just last week, during a phone discussion between the guest / host, Bitcoin was trading at $8,200, fast forward to this week, Bitcoin touched $11,400!
    • HDG plans to facilitate diversification of crypto assets, via the Buchman Index, a basket of 30 cryptos.
    • The index includes: BTC (20%), ETH (20%), BCH (14%) as well as XMR and LTC (5%) (figure 1.1).
    • The Buchman Index includes a broad array of crypto sectors, Value transfer; Gaming and Gambling; Media and Social; Anonymity; Platform; and asset peg.
    • "If China cannot contain Bitcoin, nothing will."
    • The host speculates $40,000 BTC, $2,500 ETH are likely by the end of 2018, $100,000 BTC, $10,000 ETH by 2019 and $250,000 BTC, $50,000 ETH by 2020.
    • The guest concurs with the ETH estimate.
    • Assets deemed risky, such as Bitconnect, are excluded from the HDG portfolio. The diversification among assets such as BCH, offers a beta-balancing, free lunch for investors.
    • HDG has a unique value building plan to emulate much of the success of the Bitcoin ETF (GBTC) in the Altcoin domain, which has increased 10X.
    • Although a correction to $7,900 BTC could come to pass at any time, the duo agree that $15,000 is the next most likely Bitcoin target.
    • According to Bill Murphy of GATA.org, in the last four years the gold cartel has dropped tons of precious metals on the market following Thanksgiving.
    • Nevertheless, the overall market mechanics remain bullish amid solid physical bullion sales.
    • Jim Rickards, notes how the a global flight to quality is adding support for the PMs sector.
    • Bill Murphy has a slightly different vantage point, noting that investors have finally capitulated, by tossing out their valuable gold investments.
    • The net result presents a remarkable value opportunity for precious metals investors.
    • The Fed chief Jerome Powell will likely follow the previous Fed Chairwoman's lead, with a slightly more dovish slant, raising rates at the Dec.
    • FOMC meeting and once more next year, to the benefit of the PMs bulls.
    • Bill Murphy note that on a relative basis, "... gold and silver are by far the cheapest assets on the planet..."
    • A recent article form Sprott Asset Management supports the thesis, noting that gold has outperformed even the S&P 500.
    • Recent comments from the CPM Group corroborate the notion; silver could soar to nearly $40 in 2018 on "... tight supply/demand conditions."
    • The net impact of the aforementioned topics is leading to an imminent upward price-explosion of unprecedented scale, perhaps similar to the ascent of Bitcoin.

    Friday, November 24, 2017

    Peter Grandich & Andy Schectman





    Show Highlights
    • Happy Thanksgiving holiday to USA listeners!
    • Peter Grandich of Peter Grandich and Company outlines a compelling case for a bubble in US shares.
    • Unlike past market peaks, few investors may have time to recognize /react to the hypothetical collapse.
    • The once in a generation top could restore the reputation of PMs as the de facto must-own asset class.
    • After gold eclipses the $1,375 threshold, a new bull market could propel the yellow metal to a new record.
    • The host shares the opinion of Silver Whistleblower, Andrew Maguire.
    • The Bitcoin / crypto domain appears to be paving the highway and constructing the infrastructure for PMs.
    • Gold and silver can thank crypto investors / developers / miners in part, for Bitcoin-like price altitudes.
    • Cryptos are disruptive to fiat money, the actual bubble, such as related shares, bonds and housing.
    • As fiat money loses its pervasive hegemony over global society, PMs will emerge as de facto money.
    • The PMs blockchain will enhance transparency, completing the impressive work of Bitcoin aficionados.
    • Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Institute outlines must hear methods for purchasing and storing PMs.
    • Our guest has identified a golden opportunity to profit market anomalies.
    • The gold / silver ratio of 70:1 suggests the accumulation of silver positions.
    • Similar opportunities appear with platinum.
    • A rare, once in two decades opportunity is presenting itself in the numismatics market.
    • Rare gold coins are selling at nearly 1:1 or the same price as plain bullion coins of similar gold weight.
    • Miles Franklin is currently positioning client accounts to maximize the benefits of this anomaly.
    • Protecting client's best interests is the primary directive at Miles Franklin.
    • His firm requires mandatory background checks and a large surety bond to better protect clients.
    • The Miles Franklin storage program involves Canadian Brinks security, without percentage of value fees.
    • They offer a fully insured Brinks safety-deposit box in Vancouver and Toronto.
    • Clients hold the only key / spare with 24/7 access.
    • FedEx air delivery is also available (www.privatesafedepositboxes.net).
    • Miles Franklin employees the same auditing firm as the StreetTracks GLD ETF.
    • Please call his brokers or Andy directly (brokers direct line 1-800-822-8080; Andy's mobile 1-612-290-2729).

    Friday, November 17, 2017

    John Williams & Louis Navellier




    Show Highlights
    • Alternative economist, John Williams of Shadowstats.com sees economic Armageddon on the horizon.
    • Over $100 trillion in US obligations make maintaining the national debt, impossible.
    • The actual inflation rate that most people experience is much higher than the official figure, which boosts revenues by hundreds of billions of dollars.
    • Despite protests to the contrary, the real unemployment rate remains stubbornly elevated (Figure 1.1.).
    • Our guest rejects the notion of domestic economic recovery - he expects quantitative easing (QE) to resume with gusto, leading to runaway inflation and elevated gold prices.
    • John Williams anticipates dollar selling and weaker economic conditions to send US share indexes lower in 2018.
    • Louis Navellier of Navellier & Associates says investors should ignore the naysayers, US equities will rally into the holiday season.
    • Investors cannot shake their insatiable appetite for equities dividend payments, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy of ever higher prices.
    • The flattening yield curve suggests that the upcoming FOMC quarter point rate hike slated for December, will likely be the last of the cycle.
    • Given the host's forecast of 24,000 by 2018 and Louis Navellier's growth estimate of 11%; upgrades are examined via the Navellier Rating Service.
    • Companies reviewed include Insurance company Aflac, Prudential (PUK), Bristol Myers (BMY) and Phillips 66 (PSX) as solid dividend paying candidates, and China's Twitter company Weibo (WB) (figure 1.1.).
    • Louis Navellier advises each portfolio hold at least 4-8% gold as a ballast to right the portfolio amid tepid financial conditions.
    • Our guest is concerned that extensive use of robotic trading on Wall Street could lead to another 2015-style flash crash.

    Friday, November 10, 2017

    Gerald Celente, John Scurci & Listener's Q&A Nov. 10th, 2017




    Show Highlights
    • John Scurci, head of Corona Associates Capital Management, outlines his analysis of the cryptocurrency phenomenon.
    • "Blockchain is here to stay and is truly innovative... only 4% of BTC owners control 90% of the market cap."
    • Merely 21 million BTC will ever exist, millions have evaporated or were lost on discarded hard drives, lost pass codes and "dust."
    • 100% of all BTC will be mined by 2040.
    • When juxtaposed with the global reserve currency, BTC has obvious appeal.
    • Segwit2X (B2X) was canceled Wednesday night, reportedly due to lack of consensus among the developers.
    • The market response was abrupt and dramatic; BTC launched to within earshot of $8,000 per coin, only to settle back to the previous days lows. .
    • For early BTC entrants who 10x'ed their initial investment, locking in some profits to purchase discounted PM may be advisable.
    • The duo concur, the PMs sector is under-owned and underpriced.
    • A recent article illustrated gold's intrinsic value when adjusted appropriately for real inflation, approaches $15,000.
    • John Scurci relays a humorous moniker for the yellow metal, calling "Gold... the un-bubble asset."
    • Gold remains the reserve asset of choice for central banks, the engineers of monetary policy, which improves the appeal of owning gold / BTC immensely.
    • Gold / BTC ownership is comparable to owning a mini central bank.
    • While fiat money is debt based, gold / BTC have zero entanglements or liens, representing truly sound money.
    • The discussion steers to the M1 Money Supply figure against the S&P 500.
    • A clear correlation to monetary expansion and soaring US equities prices emerges within the St. Louis Fed's graph (figure 1.1.).
    • Head of the Trends Research Institute, Gerald Celente shares the hosts' enthusiasm for Bitcoin and related Altcoins.
    • The blockchain revolution presents a key portfolio candidate for investors with a long-term focus.
    • He outlines his personal Altcoin portfolio.
    • Cryptocoins could be viewed as a safe harbor asset amid economic / financial turmoil, similar to the PMs.
    • The duo concur; investors are encouraged to dollar cost average into the cryptocurrencies and PMs over months / years, instead timing the market.
    • It may be advisable to adhere to the established names in the field when building a diversified crypto portfolio.
    • The lead developers / venture capitalists gravitate to the key projects.
    • A hypothetical portfolio follows.
    • The host identified a significant statistical correlation that suggests one method to hedge BTC profits.
    • The UUP ETF shares a -.89 correlation with BTC – a small LEAPS option position requires further analysis (figure 1.1.).

    Friday, November 03, 2017

    CMT Ralph Acampora, Bill Murphy, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - Nov. 3rd, 2017,




    Show Highlights
      • Top Wall Street Chartered Technical Analyst (CTA), Ralph Acampora of Altaira Wealth Management, revered as "The Godfather of Technical Analysis," returns.
      • Listeners / readers are encouraged to sign up for to his free Twitter account with and active subscriber base of 26,000+.
      • The Dow Jones Industrials continues to barrel towards 24,000 as predicted by his technical analysis.
      • Although still bullish on America and US equities, several sectors have advanced to parabolic like levels; chasing shares higher may be inadvisable.
      • Our guest makes positive comments on the utilities sector, which continues to post record highs while offering a solid dividend yield.
      • Ralph Acampora outlines his favorite investing tools in the arsenal, including MACD, RSI and most importantly, trends.
      • Identifying the price bias or trend oftentimes proves more challenging than expected, as it's easier to recognize in the rear view mirror.
      • Our guest's preferred trend identification method, which facilitated the recognition of the most celebrated trend in American financial history (figure 1.1.).
      • For 20 years, Bill Murphy and Chris Powell of GATA.org have lead the crusade for transparency with the gold cartel.
      • A few months earlier, Bitcoin enthusiasts were stunned / elated to find the digital currency was at parity, with gold $1,250.
      • Today, Bitcoin is over 5 times the price of gold due in part to the CME's plans to list Bitcoin futures contracts by year end!
      • BTC is poised to compete head to head as a global reserve currency, potentially usurping at least 100 years of draconian financial regulations and legislation.
      • In a potentially ironic twist, the much maligned Bitcoin may be paving the highways and building the bridges to parabolic gains in PM.
      • Bit-coin of levity for enthusiasts follows.

    Arch Crawford & Bob Hoye



    Guest order - alphabetical





    Show Highlights
    • Arch Crawford, head of Crawford Perspectives, discusses the worst natural disaster in California history, the 2017 firestorm.
    • The host proposes that 40 lives and 8,000 structures might have been spared if clay / terra cotta roofing panels were required by state building codes.
    • The onus of most of the fires stemmed from smoldering embers spread by the 40 mph gusts to adjacent roofs, where highly flammable tar tiles quickly ignited.
    • Californian officials are URGED to implement a statewide roofing upgrade.
    • Using tax credits and incentives, clay tile roofs would protect against future firestorms.
    • The show dialogue turns to the Bitcoin miracle; much of the recent strength is arguably due to accumulation ahead of the upcoming Segwit2x Hard-Fork.
    • The event is slated for mid-November; hard forks represent a token dividend.
    • While detractors cite the extreme volatility of Bitcoin, the host refutes the argument.
    • The king of cryptos differentiates itself in many ways from traditional currencies, including divisibility down to .00000001, as well as a nearly instantaneous transaction rate, essentially eliminating most of the volatility issues.
    • Bob Hoye of Institutional Advisors rejoins the show with Part II on the Bitcoin phenomenon.
    • According to the mythical founder of Bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto, in Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System (2008), trust in financial transactions was hijacked by the financial intermediaries.
    • The solution emerged from the elimination of the blockchain signature / hashing system.
    • A simple way to view Bitcoin is a CPU powered network where each node votes via CPU power to verify its block in the block chain.
    • Antonopolous estimates that not even the computing power / financial resources of an entire superpower could falsify a single transaction.
    • Antonopolous' defense of Bitcoin / Block chain is arguable comparable to the Constitutional Convention of 1776 (figure 1.1.).
    • Although an unpopular view, the host confirms the notion that Bitcoin = Digital Gold, or a close facsimile.
    • For the first time in 50 years of digital commerce an identical contract or Bitcoin has a unique signature, emulating the gold content of a coin.
    • In true Talebian fashion, the Bitcoin network is de facto anti-fragile, i.e., similar to the internet / email, if one node or several fail, the network is safe.
    • Based loosely on Metcalfe's Law governing any digital network, a unique Bitcoin valuation model emerges.
    • The square of the number of users of ANY network times the average transaction rate over the total users.
    • Given the 4.2 million users, figure is squared it and multiplied by the daily average transaction per block and voila, near the current price.
    • To identify a forecast, apply Google's Trend analysis to anticipate the new number of Bitcoin Users, which reveals that the number doubles every year.
    • A basic BTC valuation model results in a 1$ million Bitcoin price in 7 years.

    Saturday, October 21, 2017

    Peter Grandich, Harry S. Dent Jr. & CTO Gab Rigo


    Guest order by seniority



    Show Highlights
    • Our featured guest plans to fulfill the dream of every investor to run their own decentralized hedge fund.
    • Head of RigoBlock, CTO Gab Rigo makes his show debut, outlining his plan to facilitate every investor to achieve hedge fund-like success.
    • RigoBlock provides a personalized hedge fund without the need for tedious / costly procedures and requirements.
    • Rigo Block disrupts traditional management / performance fees hedge fund fee structure via a token incentive structure.
    • The upcoming RigoBlock crowdsale is highlighted by Smith - Crown, a solid analytics firm.
    • Crowdsale involve extreme volatility - it may be advisable to wait until price volatility stops after an crowdsale before considering a position.
    • Their proof-of-performance (PoP) concept seems sound, somewhat similar to the proof-of-work (PoW) of Komodo KMD.
    • The Rigo token will be mine-able, using economies of scale to allow small investors with limited Ethereum (ETH) to mine the tokens via pools. RigoBlock Paper in .PDF format.
    • At ground zero in Puerto Rico Harry S. Dent Jr. offers first hand perspective on the plight of 3.4 million struggling in the wake of Maria.
    • Harry Dent recalls a harrowing 15 hour ordeal amid Hurricane Maria as he waited out the storm in his condo.
    • Goldseek.com sent a small power inverter to facilitate laptop / mobile usage.
    • Listener's are asked to send care packages to PR.
    • Amazon.com offers free shipping to the island for Prime members. Dried foods, MREs, canned items, batteries and small rechargeable solar items.
    • Our guest views the US equities indexes as a financial bubble looking for an opportunity to implode.
    • The market could correct in similar fashion as in 1987 or the 40% tech crash of 2000; investors may have little warning if any to exit.
    • Harry S. Dent Jr. expects gold to shine brightly as the investment du jour.
    • Bitcoin wallets represent free checking accounts with near zero fees, overdraft charges or chargebacks; a decentralized and ideal monetary system.
    • Even a cheap smartphone can provide free internet service without any fees at a local WIFI establishment, such as a coffee shop.
    • Billions of global inhabitants now have access to free banking, an instant checking / savings / investment account, and income opportunities.
    • Tedious and burdensome records / assets are migrating to the blockchain domain, including insurance contracts, home / auto / boat titles, gold, silver.
    • Bitcoin and altcoin offer a universe of employment opportunities for blockchain aficionado / entrepreneurs.
    • As US equities continue to break 120 year records, Peter Grandich of Peter Grandich and Company outlines the reasons for his short position
    • Peter offers his book, FREE to Goldseek listeners / readers - book testimonials are found at this link.
    • Record debt levels, entitlement programs, crumbling domestic infrastructure, social / political division and unfunded pensions make US shares precarious.
    • The discussion includes the push for monetary independence for the masses by champion silver coinage, Hugo Salinas Price.
    • The duo conjecture if US officials could will learn from the event, by circulating a new batch of silver dimes, quarters and half dollars, with higher face values.
    • Peak gold and supply constraints could prove to be the key impetus sending the metals skyward.
    • The most recent CPI figure jumped above 2% to 2.2%, indicating greater odds of higher prices / inflation, which tends to coincide with stronger PMs prices.
    • Peter Grandich offers key investment portfolio insights.
    http://silverinvestor.blogspot.com/