Friday, May 25, 2018

Peter Schiff, Bob Hoye, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - May 25th, 2018 - Goldseek.com Radio ©2005-2018. A Spina-Waltzek Production-©2005-2018 http://radio.goldseek.com/ Royalty free music from Google Play. Disclaimer: this show is presented as informational content only; always consult first with a registered financial advisor before making investment decision.

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Show Highlights
  • Peter Schiff, head of SchiffGold, Euro Pacific Capital, and Euro Pacific Gold Fund (EPGFX) returns with market commentary.
  • Our guest expects fireworks in the gold and silver shares market, as Fed policymakers backpedal on rate hikes.
  • To save the domestic economy from deflationary collapse, policymakers will turn dovish and expand the balance sheet in the next round of quantitative easing.
  • Investors have already factored in the Fed's rate hike program, which could culminate in a buy the rumor, sell the dollar scenario to the benefit of the PMs.
  • Domestic interest rates continue to ascend due to inordinately high debt / inflation, not the economic growth claimed in reports, according to Peter Schiff. Both the host / guest concur, the net impact will create stagflation.
  • A worst of world's 1970's style inflationary economic-slowdown is inevitable, but on a much greater scale, perhaps culminating in total global financial meltdown.
  • Eventually the euphoria surrounding US equities rally will fade, sending the PMs rocket en route "... to the moon."
  • Peter Schiff suggests high yielding defensive and pharmaceutical stocks, and selected for his clients.
  • The host agrees on the importance of return of funds as well as return on funds, noting that virtually all of the Alpha Stocks Portfolio Candidates include higher than typical dividend yields.
  • Bob Hoye of Institutional Advisors rejoins the show with comments on the global financial bubble.
  • This could be the most exciting time in 400 years for investors, amid robust economic conditions in US equities as well as industrial commodities.
  • The blockchain revolution will transform the field of finance and economics through frictionless and virtually anonymous transactions.
  • Bitcoin / altcoins will satisfy the global demand for a sound, digital and liquid currency.
  • Bob Hoye is somewhat enheartened by a geopolitical, "popular-uprising" that is decentralizing entrenched deep-state interests.
  • The transition will result in the betterment of the masses, similar to the fall of the Berlin Wall in '89.
  • Such upheaval could come with a heavy price tag for the financial markets - he suggests 3-4 year investment grade corporate-bonds.
  • Gold remains the ideal ballast for every investment portfolio, to navigate the imminent unpredictable / rough economic seas.

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Friday, May 18, 2018

Raghee Horner, Bix Weir, Eagle Plains CEO, Tim Termuende, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - May 18th, 2018 - Goldseek.com Radio ©2005-2018. A Spina-Waltzek Production-©2005-2018 http://radio.goldseek.com/ Royalty free music from Google Play. Disclaimer: this show is presented as informational content only; always consult first with a registered financial advisor before making investment decision.

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Show Highlights
  • Raghee Horner of SimplerTrading, with 3 decades of trading experience and the author of 3 books, makes her show debut.
  • Gold and cryptocurrencies remain favorite trading markets of our guest; investors are advised to ignore the Bitcoin FUD (fear, uncertainty and doubt).
  • Bitcoin / Altcoins represent the natural progression from the outdated fiat model to a blockchain based monetary system of the future.
  • Investors who feel comfortable with cryptocurrencies are directed to Bitcoin silver, aka, Ethereum (ETH), which could continue to outperform Bitcoin.
  • ETH investors should be treated to a new futures / ETF contracts this year.
  • The guest / host also concur on the energy sector; WTIC reached the 2018 target of $70.
  • The new target of $90-$100 could come to pass as soon as 2018 on continued supply issues amid tensions in the Mideast.
  • Thoughts converge on silver; both expect gold's shiny cousin to outperform on a relative basis while copper remains on the watchlist.
  • Part II. with Bix Weir of RoadtoRoot-A continues the review of the ever evolving crypto-revolution, including the ascent of Ethereum and its key competitors.
  • Competing crypto-script EOS is an ERC-20 token, headed by Dan Lahrimer known for DPoS, while Cardano is run by a former key developer of Ethereum.
  • A strategic advantage of Ethereum is the Turing Complete nature of the Solidity language, which allows scripts to run on the token.
  • While YouTube "experts" use Metcalfe's Law to describe the network value of Bitcoin, Metcalfe's Law is easily debunked using basic statistical modeling.
  • Metcalfe's law holds that peer-to-peer networks such as Bitcoin derive value. via the number of transactions times the number of users.
  • Nevertheless, given that there are a finite number (n) of people, all human based exponential systems are non-asymptotic; growth eventually slows.
  • Due to the highly complex nature of human behavior, the host proposes a unique description of the cryptocurrency "network effect."
  • The progression begins with the exponential, turns to logarithmic and ends in with the parabolic.
  • The model begins with super-linear growth of the exponential n^2 curve, progressing to the more tame ascent of the n*log(n) curve.
  • The system results in the S-curve that completes the life-cycle as the log-parabolic system returns to zero (figure 1.1).
  • Investors are advised to ignore all Bitcoin growth forecasts based on Metcalfe's Law and rely instead on more pragmatic S-curve estimates.
  • The duo dismiss detractors citing the large number of US equities (10,000+) does little to lower overall demand for shares.
  • The thought is further corroborated via comments from Silicon Valley, Bitcoin Billionaire, Tim Draper.
  • Mr. Draper notes (paraphrased) that within 5 years, coffee shops around the US will accept Bitcoin as the currency of choice.
  • BTC / Altcoins offer an alternative to the domestic currency regardless of location worldwide, for currency / financial crises, such as the Great Recession of 2008, as well as the devaluation's of Venezuela and Argentina.

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Friday, May 11, 2018

Lynette Zang, Tim Draper, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - May 10th, 2018 - ©2005-2018. A Spina-Waltzek Production-©2005-2018 http://radio.goldseek.com/ Royalty free music from Google Play. Disclaimer: this show is presented as informational content only; always consult first with a registered financial advisor before making investment decision.

May 11th, 2018
Featured Guests
Lynette Zang
& Tim Draper
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Show Highlights
  • Lynette Zang, Chief Market Analyst at ITM Trading makes her show debut with in depth analysis on the risk of global hyperinflation.
  • Thousands of years of monetary history reveals, only gold money is inflation resistant, unlike fiat currency that inevitably inflates away into oblivion.
  • In only 100 years the purchasing power of the dollar has evaporated; data from the Federal Reserve reveals only 4 pennies remain for each one dollar printed.
  • Given the insidious nature of inflation, one would expect monetary policy to be the topic du jour.
  • Nevertheless, a key founder of modern economics, John Maynard Keynes noted, "not one in a million will detect (inflation)."
  • In 1971 the US President granted control of the money supply to bankers by closing the gold window, ending the exchange of Greenbacks for gold.
  • Lynette Zang draws startling parallels between today's financial markets and the Great Depression era of 1930's, including rampant margin leverage of 10:1.
  • An economic calamity may be inevitable, unfolding as soon as 2021.
  • It is advisable to expand their local network to improve the odds of survival and boost household stockpiles of food / medicine / PMs / energy and self-defense.
  • Tim Draper, Silicon Valley V.C. legend, author of How to be The Startup Hero, founder of Draper University and Bitcoin expert makes his show debut.
  • In only 5 years, Draper University is already setting the standard in education, with several success stories including a billion dollar crypto-token company.
  • Our guest had the foresight to purchase 30,000 Bitcoins in 2014 from the U.S. Marshals Service auction at around $500 each.
  • In 2014, his forecast of $10,000 BTC by 2017 came to pass ahed of the prediction.
  • Tim Draper expects the $86 trillion global currency market to be eclipsed by Bitcoin / altcoins, which implies a 240x-500x price increase from current levels.
  • His prediction last month of $250k Bitcoin by 2022, resulted in "The Draper Effect" set the floor on the $6,600 price, sending Bitcoin soaring by 50%.
  • He joins the chorus of leading financial gurus calling for $1 million Bitcoin, adding that BTC could climb into the millions per coin.
  • Key qualities of BTC: A store of wealth, ease of transfer, safety relative to traditional banking, less bureaucracy, and frictionless transactions.
  • Additional benefits: governments will compete for their citizens, digitally; easy accessibility for the unbanked masses as well as a parallel monetary system.
  • Tim Draper notes the brain drain of talent and of wealth from regions with draconian legislation towards crypto favorable areas, such as "Crypto-Rico."
  • Puerto Rico offers entrepreneurs a tax safe haven, funnelling wealth to the island where officials hope new capital will rebuild the devastated infrastructure.
  • While Japan wisely adopted Bitcoin as legal tender, bringing considerable affluence, other nations have struggled to accept the decentralized blockchain.
  • To paraphrase M. Gandhi: First they laugh at you, next they ignore you, then they attack you, and then you win.
  • Similarly, although JP Morgan and related institutions first rejected Bitcoin, FOMO is rampant on news that Goldman Sachs announced a BTC trading desk.
  • Economists / policymakers and investors who resist the inevitable pull of the crypto-revolution are doomed to mediocrity, while those who adapt to the new trend will improve their odds of success.
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Friday, May 04, 2018

Wolf Richter, Peter Kendall, Chris Waltzek Ph.D. & Robert Ian - May 4th, 2018 - ©2005-2018. A Spina-Waltzek Production-©2005-2018 http://radio.goldseek.com/ Royalty free music from Google Play. Disclaimer: this show is presented as informational content only, not as financial advice. It is advisable to always consult first with a registered financial advisor before making investment decisions.




Show Highlights
  • Wolf Richter, founder of WolfStreet.com returns to the show with cautionary comments on the US financial sector.
  • Unlike many Wall Street bears, Wolf Richter does not expect the markets to implode, but instead, following a decade of record growth, stocks / bonds could under perform expectations.
  • Although our guest does not view himself as a 'Gold-Bug' per se, he does note the positive portfolio-balancing qualities of gold / silver / shares.
  • The discussion includes a recent article he penned on the housing sector, which reviews key US cities that have eclipsed their former 2006 housing bubble peaks.
  • While real estate is a local market where many regions / towns remain fairly valued, on the contrary Wolf Richter finds key major cities with SFH prices at potentially frothy levels.
  • Our guest reports encounters with the ominous mantra, "Housing can only go up in price," suggesting from a contrarian perspective, the US SFH market may be ripe for a price correction. Quicken Loans is now the leading US mortgage lender, specializing in infamous sub-prime mortgages via bond issuance's.
  • Given that the company is unbacked by traditional agencies, without a "Fed put" to protect against exposure, the situation may represent a loose cornerstone in the foundation.
  • Key takeaway - capital preservation should be the top priority - bank CDs / Treasury-Bills offer a small yield and may help shield investors from unwanted volatility in the financial markets while the PMs improve investment portfolio beta balance.
     
  • Peter Kendall, coeditor of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast makes his show debut. Current Elliott Wave analysis suggests that the US shares indexes are registering ominous signals.
  • Whereas hard assets such as the precious metals have swung so far out of favor relative to paper assets (stocks/bonds), a multi-year uptrend may be commencing (Figure 1.1.).
  • A new commodities bull market is overdue, which could put paper assets such as US equities under considerable pressure for years while catapulting the PMs and energy sectors skyward.
  • The Elliott Wave Institute expects a deflationary dilemma to impact the global economy due to the nascent trade war, similar to the 1930's Great Depression.
  • The host notes the dissimilarities between the industrially based economy of 1930 and the information age / debt driven economy of 2018.
  • Signs of hyperinflation continue to erupt all over the world, in Venezuela, cryptocurrencies, global housing markets, etc.
  • The host posits that Fed, PBoC, BOE and BoJ policymakers will continue QE / ZIRP procedures resulting first with a 1970's style disinflationary environment.
  • The net result could be a worst of worlds scenario where jobs are sparse and prices erupt, followed by a hyperinflationary "crackup boom" as anticipated by Joseph Schumpeter.
  • The US government is now the leading mortgage lender, with the FHA climbing from 2%-20% of SFH mortgages.
  • According to one media report this week, Fannie Mae required a $4 billion bailout recently to recover from a $6 billion loss, stemming directly from subprime-like policies.
  • By increasing the DTI to 50% and downpayments to merely 3%, officials essentially underwrote a new subprime housing bubble or Echo bubble, further corroborating the hyperinflation thesis.

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